Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.682391 0.793367 0.913968 1.054418 1.213124 1.386531 1.589957
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.500742 0.648325 0.823525 1.045300 1.316854 1.636731 2.040081
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.406512 0.576718 0.794286 1.089116 1.474018 1.954826 2.595550
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.335798 0.516620 0.763212 1.117484 1.605597 2.245628 3.137722
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.295201 0.487346 0.764379 1.182534 1.785068 2.607141 3.795360
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.245790 0.434913 0.722757 1.178277 1.863002 2.832423 4.281304
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.204534 0.386838 0.678949 1.162148 1.917398 3.023373 4.727059
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.172708 0.348031 0.642908 1.151170 1.974570 3.217846 5.185788
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.152578 0.325703 0.629865 1.173649 2.082752 3.492493 5.776848
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.134382 0.303522 0.613529 1.187543 2.176279 3.748418 6.352309
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.117996 0.281785 0.594677 1.194012 2.256306 3.986076 6.910790
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.106561 0.267968 0.588264 1.220984 2.371703 4.285715 7.581798
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.093589 0.248944 0.570123 1.225779 2.451086 4.535095 8.193110
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.078069 0.221189 0.530876 1.186334 2.448094 4.646401 8.584943
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.071624 0.213433 0.531566 1.224236 2.588653 5.010339 9.417759
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.065041 0.204018 0.527344 1.251497 2.710773 5.348532 10.223543
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.062256 0.203846 0.543347 1.321611 2.919375 5.850599 11.335719
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.054696 0.189268 0.524622 1.316339 2.980152 6.089605 11.998835
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.047398 0.173737 0.501345 1.298375 3.013479 6.279090 12.581843
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.041405 0.160589 0.481810 1.286216 3.056718 6.487885 13.207489
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.037911 0.154352 0.478679 1.310921 3.177688 6.849062 14.126656
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.034361 0.147099 0.471876 1.326196 3.279440 7.178097 15.000359
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.030869 0.139179 0.462137 1.333307 3.363770 7.477032 15.830207